Tag: worse

  • Don’t be fooled. Trumponomics will tame inflation — not make it worse

    Don’t be fooled. Trumponomics will tame inflation — not make it worse

    It seems the whole world and the entire liberal media are hyperventilating over the Trump tariffs and their inflationary impact. Many of the sharpest critics of President Donald Trump’s policies are the same “experts” who assured us four years ago that President Joe Biden’s policies wouldn’t cause inflation.  Oops!

    Then there is the argument put forth by the New York Times and many economists like Mark Zandi of Moody’s that Trump’s tariffs are inflationary and so are his tax cuts.  

    Hello! Tax cuts and tax increases both can’t cause inflation. This is political advocacy dressed up as (bad) economics. 

    Inflation is a government-generated disease induced by fiscal and monetary policy that leads to too many dollars chasing too few goods. Anything that increases money puts pressure on consumer prices and anything that increases the supply of goods produced reduces inflationary pressures. 

    HERE’S HOW TRUMP’S TARIFFS ON CHINA COULD IMPACT DRUG PRICING AND OTHER HEALTHCARE COSTS

    As economists who believe in free markets, we aren’t fans of higher taxes in general, including tariffs, and it is true they may raise prices slightly for certain products. But there are three problems with the argument that Trump’s tariffs will cause an overall rise in prices. 

    The first is, of course, that they are not implemented and merely used as effective threats to yield concessions. This “peace through strength” in trade wars rather than regular wars mimics our influential but unused nuclear capabilities. Indeed, Colombia caved while Mexico and Canada are now pledging to assist in keeping deadly drugs from coming across the border.  

    The second flaw in the “tariffs cause inflation” line is that U.S. economic activity is mostly domestic and thus the quantitative impact of tariffs is relatively small. Imports now make up about 12% relative to our GDP. Much-debated Chinese imports represent only 2%, so a 10% increase in tariffs, even if fully pushed onto U.S. consumers, represents a 0.2 percent change. This is one reason why the Trump tariffs did not cause inflation in the first Trump term. But the effect on prices is likely to be a lot less than that this time around because some of the burden of the tariff is borne by foreign producers. If you sell a close substitute to U.S. goods, many consumers will say goodbye if you raise prices in response to a tariff.  

    Policies that make the American economy more productive are the best antidote to inflation.  

    Similarly, Trump’s promised deportation of illegal aliens may raise prices by causing a shortage of workers and thus higher prices in some immigrant-dependent industries.  But let us say that 2 million workers were deported — which we think would be a high number. In a country with a labor force of 168 million, this wage-push inflation is likely to be small. In addition, if wages rise, the effect on real wages for U.S. workers from price hikes is reduced.  

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    But here is what the inflation hawks are missing. Any pressure on prices from deportations and tariffs are likely to be more than offset by other Trump economic policies that will put downward pressures on overall inflation.  Policies that make the American economy more productive are the best antidote to inflation.  

    Trump is suggesting slashing income tax rates to 15% on made-in-America products. DOGE cost cutting and caps on federal hiring will make government products and services less expensive. And perhaps most importantly, reducing onerous regulations will cut costs and prices. 

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    More drilling and mining will make energy and minerals less expensive.  Trump’s push for health care price transparency will make medical consumers more attentive to costs and put downward on prices.  Trump’s call for legal immigrant worker visas will offset losses of illegal alien workers. 

    Those who warn of runaway inflation under Trump ignore all the Trump policies that are disinflationary. They forget that Trump was already president for four years and the annual inflation rate from many of the same policies he is talking about now was 1.9% or slightly less than the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target. 

    One prediction you can take to the bank: if Trump can win spending cuts from Congress anywhere near what he is proposing, inflation is going to look a lot more like the low levels in his first term than the blizzard of inflation under Bidenomics.

    Stephen Moore is a visiting senior fellow at the Heritage Foundation. Tomas Philipson is an economist at the University of Chicago and served as chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under President Donald Trump.  Moore is co-founder and Philipson a visiting research fellow at Unleash Prosperity.  

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  • China-linked firm gets EZ pass contract in New Jersey; ‘worse’ than TikTok

    China-linked firm gets EZ pass contract in New Jersey; ‘worse’ than TikTok

    The major U.S. tolling company that was sold to a Singapore-based firm under the Biden administration is reigniting national security concerns over its links to China, after it won the E-ZPass contract for the New Jersey Turnpike for $250 million more than the American company that has operated it for 22 years.

    In September, the New Jersey Turnpike Authority awarded TransCore – owned by Singapore Technologies Engineering, known as ST Engineering – the full authority to run the operation for $1.73 billion, beating out Newark’s Conduent, Inc., whose final offer was $1.479 billion.

    Cars pass through a toll plaza on the New Jersey Turnpike on August 29, 2019 in Jersey City, New Jersey.  (Gary Hershorn/Getty Images / Getty Images)

    Now, Conduent is crying foul, questioning the reasoning behind TransCore winning the contract it held for over two decades – and the risks the decision could carry.

    Conduent filed an appeal over Nashville-based TransCore’s award, voicing concerns that owner ST Engineering’s parent company, Temasek Holdings, is wholly owned by the government of Singapore, with substantial ties to China.

    LARRY KUDLOW: WE CAN’T LET CHINA SLIP AWAY

    Until recently, Fu Chengyu, a longtime chairman of state-owned Chinese oil companies – whom the protest points to as a high-ranking member of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) with connections to China’s United Front – was a member of Temasek’s board of directors. 

    Fu Chengyu giving a spech in Beijing

    Fu Chengyu, former Sinopec chairman, speaks during Caijing Magazine Annual Conference 2021 at Beijing International Fortune Center on November 26, 2020 in Beijing, China. A biography on Fu posted by Columbia University says he is “a member of the Sta (VCG/VCG via Getty Images / Getty Images)

    In 2022, The Washington Free Beacon reported Fu “served on the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference…a major hub of China’s united front system, which carries out foreign influence operations for the Chinese Communist Party.”

    Although Fu stepped down from the board about six weeks after Conduent’s initial protest, he remains influential within Temasek as a director of a China-specific subsidiary of the company, according to the investment firm’s announcement of his departure from the board.

    US REPORTEDLY INVESTIGATING WHETHER CHINA’S DEEPSEEK USED RESTRICTED AI CHIPS

    When ST Engineering was seeking approval from the Treasury Department’s Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) to acquire TransCore in 2021, a spokesperson from the company insisted that it operates “without any interference from the government or Temasek,” but national security experts warned that if the deal went through, it could mean TransCore’s data could end up in the hands of Singapore, China, and potentially other nations.

    Individuals, businesses and government entities that sign up for automatic payments at toll booths provide sensitive information – including addresses, credit card numbers, driver’s license information and license plate numbers – to tolling operators such as TransCore, which, as of that time, handled some 70% of the tolls paid in the U.S. The company has won more U.S. contracts since its acquisition.

    Exposing Americans’ data to foreign adversaries has become a greater concern since then. Last year, Congress passed a law ordering video sharing app TikTok, owned by Chinese firm ByteDance, to divest or shut down in the U.S. over security risks, given that the CCP requires companies to provide it access to their data.

    TECH MOGUL DOUBTS DEEPSEEK CLAIMS, SAYS US MEDIA FELL FOR ‘CCP PROPAGANDA’

    Former U.S. Senator Robert Torricelli (D, N.J.), who is a consultant to Conduent, said that the situation with a foreign-owned company like TransCore having access to America’s tolling systems is “worse” than the threat from TikTok.

    “I don’t really understand why this hasn’t gotten a lot, frankly, a lot more attention,” Torricelli told FOX Business in an interview. “I would rather the Chinese knew what I was watching on TikTok than have the Chinese monitoring my car going up and down the New Jersey Turnpike. I don’t really understand why people aren’t more upset about it.”

    The New Jersey Turnpike is one of the busiest highways in the U.S., and is a principal artery between the major cities on the East Coast. 

    traffic from New Jersey turnpike

    Vehicles proceed towards the Holland Tunnel from the New Jersey Turnpike extension in front of the skyline of midtown Manhattan and the Empire State Building in New York City on October 8, 2023, in Jersey City, New Jersey ( Gary Hershorn/Getty Images / Getty Images)

    Torricelli warned that every major U.S. government official traveling between New York and Washington, D.C., could potentially have their transportation patterns monitored if TransCore secures the contract to run it. He said that important cargo like chemicals and even U.S. military equipment and movements could be routinely tracked. 

    “There has to be some national security concern here,” the former senator said. “It is enormously more important than whatever nonsense is going on with TikTok, but it largely has been under the radar.”

    ALIBABA TOUTS NEW AI MODEL IT SAYS RIVALS DEEPSEEK, OPENAI, META’S TOP OFFERINGS

    The New Jersey Turnpike Authority (NJTA) declined to comment when asked by FOX Business whether the commissioners were concerned about the potential for E-ZPass customers’ data being obtained by the governments of Singapore and China, and the reasoning behind awarding TransCore a contract that cost $250 million more than their competitor’s lower bid.

    A spokesperson for the NJTA noted that Conduent’s protest of the E-ZPass contract award is still being decided, and said the Turnpike Authority is not going to comment before the process is concluded and issued a final agency decision.

    TransCore’s president and CEO, Whitt Hall, told FOX Business in a statement that the company has been based in the U.S. for its entire 85-year history. He said TransCore “has always been absolutely transparent about its ownership structure,” and “is the only toll system provider in the world to manufacture all of its tolling products within the U.S.”

    Toll booth

    Cash and E-Z Pass signs at the New Jersey Turnpike.  (Jeffrey Greenberg/Universal Images Group via Getty Images) / Getty Images)

    “TransCore delivers the most secure toll systems in the U.S. through a multi-tiered approach of best-in-class system design, strict compliance with all state and agency-specific data and cybersecurity requirements, and its National Security Agreement (NSA) that is in place with the U.S. Departments of Justice and Treasury to assure that no personally identifiable information or protected data collected is ever accessible by or shared with any foreign entity or affiliate,” Hall said. “Any allegations to the contrary are false.”

    When TikTok was trying to convince the U.S. government to allow it to keep operating in the U.S. despite its Beijing-based ownership, the social media company invested $1.5 billion in securing Americans’ data in the U.S. with backups in Singapore, vowing to fully pivot to U.S.-based data storage. 

    Despite that, Congress passed a law requiring them to divest or be shut down.

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    Former Sen. Torricelli believes TransCore deserves further scrutiny.

    “If, indeed, we ever got to a point of high tension with the Chinese, they would be monitoring our most important internal transportation,” he told FOX Business. “It would be inconceivable that an American corporation would be allowed to have access to the internal travel of Chinese government officials and sensitive information and goods –  inconceivable.  I don’t blame the Chinese, they’re not at fault. It’s us.”

  • Mets owner Steve Cohen compares Pete Alonso contract talks to Juan Soto’s acquisition: ‘This is worse’

    Mets owner Steve Cohen compares Pete Alonso contract talks to Juan Soto’s acquisition: ‘This is worse’

    Here’s something New York Mets fans might not have seen coming this offseason: Pete Alonso’s contract talks are “worse” than Juan Soto’s, according to owner Steven Cohen. 

    During an appearance at the Mets’ Amazin’ Day Saturday afternoon at Citi Field, Cohen was on a panel with his general manager, David Stearns, and manager Carlos Mendoza, while legendary broadcaster Gary Cohen (no relation) moderated the group. 

    Before questions could be asked, though, the Mets’ faithful in the crowd burst into a “We want Pete!” chant, referring to Alonso, the free agent first baseman who has been a Met his entire career. 

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    New York Mets owner Steve Cohen speaks to the media before a game against the Milwaukee Brewers at Citi Field June 28, 2023, in New York City.  (Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

    “Hold that for the end, OK?” Cohen told the crowd, smiling. 

    The Mets and Alonso have had negotiations, but have not reached a deal after they signed Soto to his $765 million deal. New York has landed other players in free agency, but Alonso remains one of the top players on the market. 

    Alonso was the team’s second-round pick out of the Florida Gators’ program in 2016, and he’s spent his first six seasons hitting home runs (226), including a rookie record 53 that aided his Rookie of the Year resume in 2019. He’s also made four All-Star teams, including each of the last three, and has a career .854 OPS. 

    METS GREAT DAVID WRIGHT OFFERS ADVICE TO PETE ALONSO AS THE FIRST BASEMAN REMAINS UNSIGNED IN FREE AGENCY

    As a fan favorite, it’s easy to see why Mets fans are chanting for their first baseman to be back for a hopeful World Series run in 2025 with Soto added to a roster that also includes Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo and Mark Vientos. 

    But Cohen, as he has been many times in the past, was transparent with the fan base about what’s been going on in negotiations with Alonso’s agent, Scott Boras, who also represents Soto. 

    “We’ve made a significant offer to Pete, and, you know, what David said is correct. He’s entitled to go out and explore his market,” Cohen said. “That’s what he’s doing. Personally, this has been an exhausting conversation and negotiation. I mean, Soto was tough. This is worse.”

    The Soto sweepstakes were a roller coaster, and it seemed like he was going to stay with the New York Yankees until Cohen came swooping in at the eleventh hour with an offer of a lifetime, crushing Shohei Ohtani’s record contract with the Los Angeles Dodgers. 

    So, with a record-breaking deal done, how could Alonso’s negotiations possibly be worse?

    Pete Alonso in action

    New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso runs the bases after hitting a home run in the sixth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies during Game 2 of a 2024 NLDS at Citizens Bank Park.  (Kyle Ross/Imagn Images)

    “I don’t like the structures that are being presented back to us,” Cohen explained. “I think it’s highly asymmetric against us, and I feel strongly about it. I will never say no. There’s always the possibility. But the reality is we’re moving forward, and we continue to bring in players. As we continue to bring in players, the reality is it becomes harder to fit Pete into what is a very expensive group of players that we already have. That’s where we are.

    “I’m being brutally honest. I don’t like the negotiations, I don’t like what’s been presented to us, and maybe that changes. Certainly, I’ll always stay flexible. If it stays this way, I think we’re going to have to get used to the fact that we may have to go forward with the existing players that we have.”

    Mets fans appreciated the honesty from their owner, giving him a round of applause at the end. 

    Stearns added, “We all love Pete. And we’ve said that many times. I think as we’ve gone through this process, we’ve continued to express that.”

    SNY reported this week the Mets have a $68-70 million offer in “present day money” on the table. Alonso turned down a deal for more than $70 million when taking deferred money into account. 

    Steve Cohen in the Mets' dugout

    New York Mets owner Steve Cohen defended the team’s deadline moves. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

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    The Toronto Blue Jays have also been linked to Alonso, but no deal appears imminent.

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