Tag: steady

  • Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady amid inflation uncertainty

    Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady amid inflation uncertainty

    The Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced that it will leave interest rates unchanged amid uncertainty about inflation and economic conditions.

    The Fed’s decision leaves the benchmark federal funds rate at a range of 4.25% to 4.5% and follows three consecutive interest rate cuts at the central bank’s most recent meetings – including a 50-basis-point cut in September as well as a pair of 25-basis-point reductions in November and December.

    “Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace,” wrote members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the group responsible for guiding the Fed’s monetary policy. “The unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level in recent months, and labor market conditions remain solid. Inflation remains somewhat elevated.”

    The FOMC statement said that the Fed continues to pursue its dual mandate of achieving maximum employment and inflation at 2% over the longer run. It added that the “economic outlook is uncertain, and the Committee is attentive to risks to both sides of its dual mandate.”

    FOMC members were unanimous in the decision to leave rates unchanged at this time. The committee’s statement added that policymakers “would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee’s goals” and that it will consider a range of information including labor market data, inflation pressures and expectations, as well as financial and international developments as it considers its next move.

    Fed Chair Jerome Powell will outline the central bank’s decision at a press conference where he will likely face questions about how policymakers view the impact of President Donald Trump’s economic agenda. He may also face questions about whether they considered his call for lower interest rates in their decision.

    This is a developing story. Please check back for updates.

  • U.S. economy steady as Trump takes hold

    U.S. economy steady as Trump takes hold

    The U.S. economy entered 2025 with a steady hand, according to the National Association of Business Economics, a group of the nation’s leading economists, with the chance of a prolonged slowdown falling. 

    “The odds of a recession continue to diminish according to panelists, with the downside risks largely tied to uncertainty over the implementation and timing of policy proposals from the new administration” said NABE President Emily Kolinski Morris, CBE, global chief economist, Ford Motor Company, in the group’s January Business Conditions Survey taken from Dec. 30, 2024, to Jan. 13, 2025.

    President Donald Trump, who took office a week ago, hit the ground running, rolling out a series of pro-business executive orders tied to making the U.S. more open to cryptocurrency, easing energy restrictions and freezing the hiring of federal workers as his DOGE, Department of Government Efficiency arm, assesses areas to cut waste. 

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    Additionally, he announced a $500 billion investment from OpenAI, Softbank and Oracle to expand artificial intelligence in the U.S. He is also threatening tariffs against Canada, Mexico and China.

    Still, inflation remains a headwind. While 65% of NABE’s economists see prices stable over the next three months, 35% expect price increases, an uptick from 28% polled in October.

    The consumer price index last month rose 2.9% annually and 0.4% vs. November. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy, rose 3.2% annually. Inflation is well below its 9.1% peak in July 2022 but still above the Federal Reserve’s preferred 2% goal. 

    INFLATION RISES 2.9% IN DECEMBER, IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS

    President Donald Trump makes a speech via video-conference during the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 23, 2025. (Halil Sagirkaya/Anadolu via)

    TRUMP BLASTS BOFA, REIGNITES DEBANKING CONTROVERSY

    Trump, during his remote appearance before the World Economic Forum marking his return to office, blamed the Biden administration for high inflation. 

    Over the past four years, our government racked up $8 trillion in wasteful deficit spending and inflicted nation wrecking energy restrictions, crippling regulations and hidden taxes like never before. The result is the worst inflation crisis in modern history, and sky-high interest rates for our citizens and even throughout the world, food prices and the price of almost every other thing known to mankind went through the roof,” Trump told attendees in Davos, Switzerland. He also took a jab at Fed Chair Jerome Powell. 

    I’ll demand that interest rates drop immediately. And likewise, they should be dropping all over the world. Interest rates should follow us,” he said. 

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell

    Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference at the Federal Reserve on Dec. 18, 2024, in Washington, D.C. (Alex Wong / Getty Images)

    Policymakers are expected to leave rates unchanged at the conclusion of the two-day meeting Wednesday, according to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, which tracks the probability of rate moves. That will keep the Federal Funds Rate between 4.25%-4.50%. 

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    On Thursday, GDP for the fourth quarter is seen rising 3%, in line with the 3.1% reported in the third quarter.